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Unverified resolution data: Michele Tafoya (99%)
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 12, 2026, 1:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Michele Tafoya99%
Royce White3%
Adam Schwarze1%
Chris Madel1%
Tom Weiler1%
Michele TafoyaAwaiting result
Royce WhiteAwaiting result
Adam SchwarzeAwaiting result
Chris MadelAwaiting result
Tom WeilerAwaiting result
Rules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2026 Minnesota Republican nominating contest for U.S. Senate.
Should no primary election or other nominating contest be held due to a candidate running unopposed, this market will resolve in favor of such candidate.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
Should no primary election or other nominating contest be held due to a candidate running unopposed, this market will resolve in favor of such candidate.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled.
- Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
