Who will win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate nomination?
1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection
PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Abdul El-Sayed 83%+1.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
$0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Abdul El-Sayed83%
Compare venues· Abdul El-Sayed
Ordered by 24h volume| Venue | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMost active | 83% | +1pt | $97.6K | $803.1K | 1 minute ago | Open → |
 Polymarket | 81% | -1pt | $31.2K | $299.7K | 6 minutes ago | Open → |
 Futuur | 81% | -1pt | $621.5 | $0 | 1 minute ago | Open → |
| PredictItThis page | 83% | +1pt | — | — | 1 minute ago | |
 Manifold Markets | 80% | -2pt | — | — | 1 minute ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets | 80% | -2pt | — | — | 1 minute ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets | 84% | +2pt | — | — | 1 minute ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
5.3%26d
-4.5%81%
+5.3%20%
0%
+17 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$821.3K
24h Vol$31.2K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Kalshi
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
2.0%3mo
+2.0%16%
-3.0%83%
-0.1%0%
+6 more outcomes
89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.7M
24h Vol$97.6K
KALSHIAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 2026 Senate election?
29d
0.1%
18.7%
1%
+2 more outcomes
Community forecast33 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$23.7K
24h Vol$0
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Futuur
Winner of Michigan's Democratic Senate primary
26d
81%
10%
20%
40 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$621.5
24h Vol$621.5
FUTUURAlso available on Manifold Markets
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner?
26d
18.8%
80.3%
1%
Community forecast35 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$50.1K
24h Vol$0
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the Democratic Primary in Michigan's 2026 Senate Election?
27d
1.1%
84.1%
14.8%
Community forecast18 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$7.6K
24h Vol$0
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.