PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
37.8% or lower 20%Leader of 9 outcomes
37.8% or lower 20%Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
$5
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 14, 26, 5:11 PM UTCOct 21, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify President Trump's average RealClearPolitics job approval rating at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
- Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the average job approval of President Trump (currently labelled "Approve" in the row labelled "RCP Average") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 10/21/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
