PredictItClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Unverified resolution data: 120 or fewer (99%)
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 17, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
120 or fewer99%
121 to 1401%
141 to 1600%
161 to 1800%
181 to 2001%
201 to 22053%
221 to 2401%
241 to 2601%
261 or more0%
120 or fewerAwaiting result
121 to 140Awaiting result
141 to 160Awaiting result
161 to 180Awaiting result
181 to 200Awaiting result
201 to 220Awaiting result
221 to 240Awaiting result
241 to 260Awaiting result
261 or moreAwaiting result
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Truths will Trump delete in Oct 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhat words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWill Trump post an image of him as a Hindu deity or priest or Buddha before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the total number of posts made by President Trump on the Truth Social social media website between the beginning of September 10, 2026, and the end of September 16, 2026, as categorized by the Settlement Source and as displayed at the End Date listed below.
The Settlement Source shall be the counter on the "Trump Truth's" database for the relevant dates (located upon launch of this market at https://trumpstruth.org/search?query=&start_date=2026-09-10&end_date=2026-09-16&sort=date_desc&removed=current&per_page=50).
The Settlement Source shall be the counter on the "Trump Truth's" database for the relevant dates (located upon launch of this market at https://trumpstruth.org/search?query=&start_date=2026-09-10&end_date=2026-09-16&sort=date_desc&removed=current&per_page=50).
- Should that source be unavailable or deemed by PredictIt to be out of date upon the End Date listed below, PredictIt may at its sole discretion either await its restoration and/or update, select the most appropriate alternate source, or manually count Truth posts (not including deleted posts or posts that are only "re-truths") that are publicly available.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/17/2026 11:00 AM (ET)