PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 4%
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.2
Liquidity
$63.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.5% / 3.8%
Spread
8.6%
Wide spread7d Change
-0.8%
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 25, 25, 6:48 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes4%
Volume trend
$3Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign.
- Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.