PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 7%
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.6K
Liquidity
$59.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
16.7%
Wide spread7d Change
+1.0%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 25, 25, 6:59 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Yes7%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign.
- Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.