KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 82%
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$101.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 21.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Nov 9, 24, 7:00 PMJan 21, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes18%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 82% | — | $1.1K | $101.8K | 23 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets92% match · verified | — | 97% | — | — | — | 30 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will Donald Trump resign as US President during his second term?
2y
97.3%
2.7%
Community forecast39 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If the President of the United States elected for the 2025-2029 term resigns the office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.1kJul 228d of dataJul 29
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If the President of the United States elected for the 2025-2029 term resigns the office, then the market resolves to Yes.