Will the new "mystery balloon" be downed by May 2?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: May 3, 2023, 6:03 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
17 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
0.0% / 100.0%
Spread
100.0 pt
Wide spread7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleMay 1, 23, 7:56 PMMay 2, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the new "mystery balloon" reported floating over US territory (https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-military-tracking-another-mysterious-balloon-rcna82300) is destroyed, downed, or otherwise grounded by any means by May 2, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The balloon's destruction, downing, or grounding will trigger a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether it occurs naturally or artificially.
- If the balloon lands in or is otherwise downed into any body of water or onto any land mass, it will trigger a "Yes" resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the government of the United States of America, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.