Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Nov 28, 2023, 7:47 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleNov 22, 23, 8:22 PMDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal after the creation of this market lasts at least 4 full days (96 consecutive hours).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If no such ceasefire starts by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM IST (Israeli Standard Time), this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? resolve?
- Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2023.
- How is Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal after the creation of this market lasts at least 4 full days (96 consecutive hours).