Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Mar 1, 2024, 7:03 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 147 days ago
StaleJan 11, 24, 8:59 PMFeb 29, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Open markets
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.2pt78%
- October 31+18.5pt65%
- September 30+13.0pt42%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.8pt100%
- August 31+4.0pt96%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-6.0pt60.4%
- Yes+6.0pt39.6%
- Total Vol
- $9.5M
- 24h Vol
- $333.2K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $59.9M
- 24h Vol
- $269.1K
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+0.5pt68%
- December+2.0pt53%
- September 30,+3.5pt25%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)72%
- New People (NL)-0.2pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 more outcomes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Sweden join NATO by February 29??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
- When does Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? resolve?
- Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? is scheduled to resolve on February 29, 2024.
- How is Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: If Sweden has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."