PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
November 5 · —
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Stored reference
November 5 95%Leader of 28 outcomes
November 5 95%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$889.4
Liquidity
$36K
High liquidityOpen interest
$285.2
Bid / Ask
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November 5Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Nov 2, 26, 10:28 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · November 5
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv
PolymarketRussia to take Kyiv by force in 2026?
FutuurWill any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by which date?
PolymarketFK Obolon Kyiv vs. FK Livyi Bereh
PolymarketFK Obolon Kyiv vs. FK Livyi Bereh - Halftime Result
PolymarketRussia's Next Target
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.