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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

0.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticsGeopolitics18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 3%+0.0%
Market quality

36 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$518.5

Liquidity

$813.4

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

1.9% / 4.3%

Spread

126.3%

Wide spread
7d Change

+2.5%

Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Nov 5, 25, 7:30 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes3%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
  • Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
  • The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
  • Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
  • The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.