Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Jan 21, 2024, 7:16 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon by January 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Lebanon, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.