Will Iran officially join the war before February?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Feb 1, 2024, 7:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially declares war on Israel by January 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET.
- Declarations of war must be clear, and explicit.
- The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made by the specified date.
- Note that Israel or Hamas declaring war is not considered toward this market's resolution.
- Further, if e.g. Hezbollah declared war, it will not satisfy a “Yes” resolution - only Iran itself declaring war will suffice.