What are the current odds for Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January??

Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.

Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January?

Geopolitics

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Feb 3, 2024, 4:46 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Jan 3, 24, 3:08 PMJan 31, 24, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially deploys ground forces in Israel in the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas on or before January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

Deployment is defined as Hezbollah sending troops to engage in combat against Israel.
This market will resolve according to a consensus of credible sources.
If no such deployment occurs by the resolution date, the market will resolve to "No".
Note that the market may resolve before the expiry date if Hezbollah's deployment of ground forces in the war is confirmed prior to this date.

Report a data issue with this market

Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January?

Geopolitics

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Feb 3, 2024, 4:46 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 123 days ago

Stale

Jan 3, 24, 3:08 PMJan 31, 24, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially deploys ground forces in Israel in the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas on or before January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

Deployment is defined as Hezbollah sending troops to engage in combat against Israel.
This market will resolve according to a consensus of credible sources.
If no such deployment occurs by the resolution date, the market will resolve to "No".
Note that the market may resolve before the expiry date if Hezbollah's deployment of ground forces in the war is confirmed prior to this date.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January??: Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
When does Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? resolve?: Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2024.
How is Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially deploys ground forces in Israel in the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas on or before January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January?

Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January?

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