Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsLatin America3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 90%+1.0pt
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$184.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 14.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
May 28, 26, 6:34 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina makes Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Statements from Peter Thiel indicating intent to seek citizenship from Argentina will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
- Statements from Argentina or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Peter Thiel a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.
- Only Argentina's actually making Peter Thiel a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31??
- Polymarket prices No at 90% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31? resolve?
- Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina makes Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.