PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Dec 1, 2023, 7:06 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
NoWon
YesLost
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any listed major Iranian oil refinery is damaged to the point of inoperability for any length of time due to violent or military action by November 30, 2023 ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The major Iranian oil refineries considered for this market are:
- Abadan Refinery Isfahan Refinery Arak Refinery Bandar Abbas Refinery Tehran Refinery
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and/or Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.