Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Jan 1, 2024, 7:31 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 180 days ago

Stale

Oct 8, 23, 10:23 PM UTCDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

Won

Yes

Lost

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another sovereign nation officially declares war on either Israel or Hamas by December 31, 2023, ET.

Declarations of war must be clear, explicit, and from a sovereign nation.
The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made by the specified date.
Note that Israel or Hamas declaring war is not considered for this market.
Further note if e.g. Hezbollah declared war, it will not satisfy a “Yes” resolution - only Lebanon itself declaring war will suffice.

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