What are the current odds for Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict??

Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.

Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?

Geopolitics

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Jan 1, 2024, 7:31 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

Oct 8, 23, 10:23 PMDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another sovereign nation officially declares war on either Israel or Hamas by December 31, 2023, ET.

Declarations of war must be clear, explicit, and from a sovereign nation.
The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made by the specified date.
Note that Israel or Hamas declaring war is not considered for this market.
Further note if e.g. Hezbollah declared war, it will not satisfy a “Yes” resolution - only Lebanon itself declaring war will suffice.

Report a data issue with this market

Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?

Geopolitics

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Jan 1, 2024, 7:31 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

No 100%

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 122 days ago

Stale

Oct 8, 23, 10:23 PMDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

0.0 pts

100%

Yes

0.0 pts

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another sovereign nation officially declares war on either Israel or Hamas by December 31, 2023, ET.

Declarations of war must be clear, explicit, and from a sovereign nation.
The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made by the specified date.
Note that Israel or Hamas declaring war is not considered for this market.
Further note if e.g. Hezbollah declared war, it will not satisfy a “Yes” resolution - only Lebanon itself declaring war will suffice.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict??: Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
When does Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? resolve?: Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2023.
How is Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? settled?: Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if another sovereign nation officially declares war on either Israel or Hamas by December 31, 2023, ET.

Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?

Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?

Frequently asked questions

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