What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 22, 2026, 7:23 AM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 1:26 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
AI / Artificial Intelligence21%
Aluminum / Steel59%
America First / Gulf of America49%
Data Center19%
Drill Baby Drill15%
Gay36%
Hell 15+ times45%
Hormuz / Blockade45%
Iran 5+ times56%
Russia / Ukraine68%
SI / Super Intelligence63%
Star59%
Transgender 7+ times57%
Fentanyl / Deport / Deported19%
Filibuster14%
Milk14%
-No Qualifying Event-1%
Ass0%
Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times0%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency4%
Border 20+ times0%
Crime / Criminal 12+ times0%
Tax 20+ times0%
AI / Artificial IntelligenceWon
Aluminum / SteelWon
America First / Gulf of AmericaWon
Data CenterWon
Drill Baby DrillWon
GayWon
Hell 15+ timesWon
Hormuz / BlockadeWon
Iran 5+ timesWon
Russia / UkraineWon
SI / Super IntelligenceWon
StarWon
Transgender 7+ timesWon
-No Qualifying Event-Lost
AssLost
Biden / Kamala / Obama 15+ timesLost
Bitcoin / Crypto / CryptocurrencyLost
Border 20+ timesLost
Crime / Criminal 12+ timesLost
Fentanyl / Deport / DeportedLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Clemson, South Carolina on October 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
- (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-clemson-sc-president-donald-j-trump-djt47)
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in South Carolina on October 21, 2026.
- Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
