What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 3, 2026, 5:22 AM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 4, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Iran 5+ times69%
Gulf of America50%
Football83%
Hotel26%
Hell93%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline95%
Transgender94%
Fake News94%
Save America Act88%
Job 15+ times45%
SI / Super Intelligence36%
AI / Artificial Intelligence30%
Lake America26%
Commencement26%
College Sports27%
Ass0%
ICE75%
Six Seven10%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency5%
-No Qualifying Event-1%
Biden 3+ times100%
Million / Billion / Trillion 30+39%
Iran 5+ timesWon
Gulf of AmericaWon
FootballWon
HotelWon
HellWon
Oil / Gas / GasolineWon
TransgenderWon
Fake NewsWon
Save America ActWon
Biden 3+ timesWon
Million / Billion / Trillion 30+Won
Job 15+ timesLost
SI / Super IntelligenceLost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
Lake AmericaLost
CommencementLost
College SportsLost
AssLost
ICELost
Six SevenLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Mobile, Alabama on October 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
- (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-mobile-alabama-president-trump)
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Alabama on October 2, 2026.
- Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
