US/Iran declare war before March?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Mar 1, 2024, 7:20 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleJan 29, 24, 8:36 PMFeb 29, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US officially declares war against Iran, or Iran officially declares war against the US by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Declarations of war must be clear, and explicit.
- The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made from the US or Iran against the other by the specified date.
- Only the US and Iran themselves declaring war will suffice to resolve this market - e.g. if an Iranian militant group declared war against the US it will not count for this market.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US/Iran declare war before March??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does US/Iran declare war before March? resolve?
- US/Iran declare war before March? is scheduled to resolve on February 29, 2024.
- How is US/Iran declare war before March? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US officially declares war against Iran, or Iran officially declares war against the US by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.