PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
September 30 78%-7.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13.6K
Liquidity
$8.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-48.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 9:38 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
- Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
- The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for September 30 is 79%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference September 30 79% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Limitless — Trump declassifies new UFO files by...? · September 30 79%