PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
December 31 100%+16.4ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$494.5K
Liquidity
$262.3K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+70.2 pts
Market data
Updated 116 days ago
StaleFeb 21, 26, 12:35 AMMar 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
100%
100%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
- Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
- The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
