Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America13d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Allyson 15%+ · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
Allyson 15%+ 22.1%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Allyson 15%+ 22.1%Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$353
Liquidity
$52K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
Allyson 15%+Spread
—
Comments
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Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 8:45 AM UTCOct 26, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · Allyson 15%+
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
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KalshiRules
The second round of the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the second round ballot.
- They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.