KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Cadu de Lula (99%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 12:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Cadu de Lula99%
Allyson2%
Cadu de LulaWon
Alvaro DiasLost
AllysonLost
Dário BarbosaLost
Carlos JararacaLost
Henrique LyraLost
Rodrigo BolsonaroLost
Professor Robério PaulinoLost
Arinalda do MLBLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Cadu de Lula wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Cadu de Lula
- If Cadu de Lula wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alvaro Dias
- If Alvaro Dias wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Allyson
- If Allyson wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dário Barbosa
- If Dário Barbosa wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Carlos Jararaca
- If Carlos Jararaca wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Henrique Lyra
- If Henrique Lyra wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rodrigo Bolsonaro
- If Rodrigo Bolsonaro wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Professor Robério Paulino
- If Professor Robério Paulino wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Arinalda do MLB
- If Arinalda do MLB wins the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
