PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 4:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored reference
No 81%
No 81%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$686.7
Low liquidityOpen interest
$5.5K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 56 minutes ago
LaggingMar 19, 26, 6:04 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
RFK Jr. Out by October 31?
PolymarketWill There Be a Successful Assassination of RFK Jr. Before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill RFK Jr. be impeached before the midterms?
Manifold MarketsRFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?
KalshiWill RFK Jr. do a pullup?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.