What are the current odds for Will RFK Jr. do a pullup??

Manifold Markets prices No at 83.6% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will RFK Jr. do a pullup? resolve?

Will RFK Jr. do a pullup? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: (https://www.youtube.com/embed/aUhsKKGF1VI)On video, after question creation, before close date.

One-OffSports2mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

No 83.6%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 10 hours ago

Stale

Dec 8, 25, 11:57 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

(https://www.youtube.com/embed/aUhsKKGF1VI)On video, after question creation, before close date.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pull-up
Beginning by hanging from the bar, the body is pulled up vertically.
From the top position, the participant lowers their body until the arms and shoulders are fully extended.
The end range of motion at the top end may be chin over bar or higher, such as chest to bar.
Update 2025-12-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Creator indicates they would be more forgiving if RFK Jr. gets: