Current implied probability
PLQ 72%+4.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$569.2
Liquidity
$37.3K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+13.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 27, 26, 11:30 AM UTCOct 5, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which party will finish third place in the 2026 NZ General Election?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
- If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Quebec General Election: Third Place?
- Polymarket prices PLQ at 72% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Quebec General Election: Third Place resolve?
- Quebec General Election: Third Place is scheduled to resolve on October 5, 2026.
- How is Quebec General Election: Third Place settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.