Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:52 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 3%Leader of 3 outcomes
December 31 3%Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$11.4K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$4.8K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
1
7d Change
-4.8 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 21, 26, 9:05 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
July 31Lost
June 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?
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PolymarketVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by the named outcome, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister.
- Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
- The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
