Current implied probability
Geordin Hill-Lewis 86.4%+0.5ptLeader of 16 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Geordin Hill-Lewis 86.4%+0.5ptMarket quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$20
Liquidity
$309.2K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 2:57 PM UTCNov 5, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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KalshiRules
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.
- Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
- A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".