
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
Market depth · No
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?
Negative growth in Brazil's GDP in any quarter of 2026?
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
GDP growth in 2026
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
Rules
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:
https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/polymarket/negative-gdp-growth-in-2026AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:
https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp+6 more outcomes
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