PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 72.3%+27.0pt
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$129.8
Liquidity
$471.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
55.0% / 90.0%
Spread
35.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+40.5 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 7:42 PMSep 30, 26, 3:59 PM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
- The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 49%. Quotes span about 48 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 49% · 2 venues · 48 pt venue spread
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 72% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? resolve?
- Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? listed?
- The same question is also listed on PredictIt.