PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Garlin Gilchrist (D) 83%
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$241.4
Liquidity
$33.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 19.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 5:57 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders.
- In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
- If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Michigan Secretary of State winner? · Garlin Gilchrist 86%
