This market resolved: 26-29
Resolved: Sep 30, 2026, 3:15 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
26-29
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
97%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 2:22 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
26-29100%
22-250%
34+0%
30-330%
26-29Won
<18Lost
18-21Lost
22-25Lost
30-33Lost
34+Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
- This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election.
- This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
- If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
