What are the current odds for Early parliamentary elections in Poland?

Manifold Markets prices No at 95.2% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Early parliamentary elections in Poland resolve?

Early parliamentary elections in Poland is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2027.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 95.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Stale

Jun 6, 25, 1:53 AM UTCJan 31, 27, 12:00 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

This market predicts whether Poland will conduct early parliamentary elections before December 31, 2026.

The standard term for the Sejm is four years, with the next regular elections expected by November 2027.
However, early elections can be called under specific circumstances.
Resolution will be based on official announcements from the National Electoral Commission of Poland.