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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. MD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner

MD-04 House Election Winner

1.6% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics4mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Democratic Party
Democratic Party 94%+1.9%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

64 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$3.3K

Liquidity

$40.7K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

3.6% / 4.3%

Spread

19.4%

Wide spread
7d Change

-1.6%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jan 28, 26, 9:53 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Other
Other
0%
B
B
0%
D
D
0%
A
A
0%

Selected outcome

Democratic Party94%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.

Polymarket
  • House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
  • The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
  • ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
  • A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
  • This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.

Polymarket
  • House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
  • The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
  • ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
  • A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
  • This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.