PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrat 5-10% 20%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$37.1
Liquidity
$63.6K
High liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+3.5 pts
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 7:28 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
The 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Open markets
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
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- Democratic Party-0.9pt91%
- Republican Party+0.3pt9%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket prices Democrat 5-10% at 20% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory resolve?
- Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2027.
- How is Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.