PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 10%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$380.2
Liquidity
$12.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
37
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jan 8, 26, 11:55 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Lost
Lost
Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28?
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff15.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $225.9M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.6pt91%
- Republican Party+0.1pt9%
- Total Vol
- $37M
- 24h Vol
- $972.4K
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-7.0pt63.7%
- Susan Collins+9.0pt36.3%
- Total Vol
- $6.7M
- 24h Vol
- $883.9K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+0.9pt13%
+50 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt61%
- Republican Party+3.0pt39%
- Total Vol
- $10.5M
- 24h Vol
- $651.5K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-3.0pt60.4%
- D-House, R-Senate+3.0pt30.7%
- Republicans sweep+0.1pt7.9%
+1 more outcomes
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Maine Senate Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Next French Presidential Election
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Masoud Pezeshkian out by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 10% as of September 25, 2026.
- When does Masoud Pezeshkian out by which date? resolve?
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Masoud Pezeshkian out by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Where else is Masoud Pezeshkian out by which date? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur.