Current implied probability
LPV 44.7%-3.5ptLeader of 14 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$90.8K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+31.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 11:47 AM UTCOct 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
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Manifold MarketsRules
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
- The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations.
- This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket prices LPV at 45% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place resolve?
- Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place is scheduled to resolve on October 3, 2026.
- How is Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.