Brazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)?
InflationPoliticsDailyElectionLatin AmericaCommodities8h
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 99%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Mar 4, 26, 4:59 PM UTCOct 25, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if the value labeled “Preço Médio do Brasil” on Petrobras’ gasoline page is ≥ R$ 6.50 per liter at 23:59 (Brasília time) on Oct 25, 2026.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Source: Petrobras price portal - Preço Médio do Brasil: https://precos.petrobras.com.br/sele%C3%A7%C3%A3o-de-estados-gasolina
