KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedUnverified resolution data: Ed Gallrein
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Probability Timeline
Ed Gallrein100%
Thomas Massie0%
Ed GallreinAwaiting result
Nicole Lee EthingtonAwaiting result
Robert Wells Jr.Awaiting result
Candidate BAwaiting result
Candidate DAwaiting result
Candidate FAwaiting result
Candidate HAwaiting result
Candidate JAwaiting result
Candidate LAwaiting result
Candidate NAwaiting result
OtherAwaiting result
Thomas MassieAwaiting result
Candidate AAwaiting result
Candidate CAwaiting result
Candidate EAwaiting result
Candidate GAwaiting result
Candidate IAwaiting result
Candidate KAwaiting result
Candidate MAwaiting result
Candidate OAwaiting result
Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
- If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
