PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
<5 · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored reference
<5 91.2%Leader of 13 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
<5 91.2%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Liquidity
$17.4K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$2.6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
<5Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 24, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · <5
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between October 27, 12:00 PM ET and November 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data".
