PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
November 30 · —
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Stored reference
November 30 No observed price
November 30 No observed priceMarket quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$198.9
Liquidity
$429.6
Low liquidityOpen interest
$1.7K
Bid / Ask
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November 30Spread
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Comments
1
7d Change
+1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 9:39 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
October 15Lost
September 11Lost
September 18Lost
September 30Lost
September 4Lost
September 7Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · November 30
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketNetanyahu out before the next Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting?
PolymarketWill Russia and/or China get involved with the US/Israel and Iran situation before May begins
Manifold MarketsWill nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which Israel does not take a qualifying military action against Lebanon that begins at any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred).
- The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day.
- This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed where the most recent qualifying military action occurred on or before the specified end date (ET).
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Lebanon.