Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Nov 26, 2023, 7:35 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleOct 27, 23, 4:55 PMNov 30, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas by Nov 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.
- The resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.
- An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties.
- Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- The ceasefire must last 48h and to have begun before the resolution date (if the ceasefire begins on Nov 29, for example, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 48h).
Open markets
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.8pt75%
- October 31+8.5pt61%
- September 30+8.0pt41%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.4M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.3pt100%
- August 31+2.0pt94%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- No-1.0pt92.1%
- Yes+1.0pt7.9%
- Total Vol
- $25.2M
- 24h Vol
- $354.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)72%
- New People (NL)22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt5%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-1.0pt63.4%
- Yes+1.0pt36.6%
- Total Vol
- $9.4M
- 24h Vol
- $246.7K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Total Vol
- $59.7M
- 24h Vol
- $218.9K
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? resolve?
- Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? is scheduled to resolve on November 30, 2023.
- How is Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas by Nov 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET.