Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Stratton 6–9%
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Stratton 6–9% 100%+1.9ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 129 days ago
StaleMar 17, 26, 10:56 PMMar 17, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Stratton 6–9%100%
Krishnamoorthi 9%+0%
Krishnamoorthi 6–9%0%
Krishnamoorthi 3–6%0%
Krishnamoorthi <3%0%
Stratton <3%0%
Stratton 3–6%0%
Other0%
Stratton 9%+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
- If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket prices Stratton 6–9% at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
- When does Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory resolve?
- Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory is scheduled to resolve on March 17, 2026.
- How is Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.