Current implied probability
No 95%-0.8pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.2% / 5.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
5
7d Change
+1.3 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 13, 26, 5:21 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe.
- The images or video must be authentic.
- Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
- Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31??
- Polymarket prices No at 95% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? resolve?
- Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time).