Houthi military action against Israel by which date?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: April 15
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
April 15 100%+74.0pt
Market quality
7 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 154 days ago
StaleMar 20, 26, 2:28 PMApr 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
99%
100%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
- Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Open markets
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Total Vol
- $64M
- 24h Vol
- $618.1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.2pt61%
- October 31+2.0pt39%
- September 3020%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)-1.0pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt24%
- October 31-2.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIran full airspace closure by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt29%
- September 30+1.0pt13%
- June 30+0.3pt0%
+7 more outcomes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will Iran target an Arab country by which date?
- Iran invades Kuwait by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Houthi military action against Israel by which date??
- Polymarket prices April 15 at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
- When does Houthi military action against Israel by which date? resolve?
- Houthi military action against Israel by which date? is scheduled to resolve on April 30, 2026.
- How is Houthi military action against Israel by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".