Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Nov 3, 2023, 12:34 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleProbability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas is still recognized as the primary governing authority in the Gaza Strip by Oct 31, 2023. "Primary governing authority" is defined as Hamas having predominant political and military control in the Gaza Strip.
- If at any time prior to the expiry date, Hamas is no longer recognized as the primary governing authority, the market will resolve to "No".
- In case of shared governance or significant disruptions, the group or authority with the majority of control will be considered the primary governing authority.
- This market will resolve according to credible reporting.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- How is Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas is still recognized as the primary governing authority in the Gaza Strip by Oct 31, 2023. "Primary governing authority" is defined as Hamas having predominant political and military control in the Gaza Strip.