PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Seán Kyne
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Seán Kyne 100%+31.4ptLeader of 27 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$140.2K
Liquidity
$3M
High liquidity7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 100 days ago
StaleFeb 26, 26, 12:36 AMMar 31, 27, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich11%
Seán Kyne100%
Noel Thomas0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Rules
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
- If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Galway-West By-Election Winner??
- Polymarket prices Seán Kyne at 100% as of May 24, 2026.
- When does Galway-West By-Election Winner? resolve?
- Galway-West By-Election Winner? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is Galway-West By-Election Winner? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.