Current implied probability
No 70%
No 70%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$617.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 43.0%
Spread
28.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
2
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 10:30 PM UTCOct 10, 26, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Rules
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections.
- The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
- If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
