PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Michelle Bolsonaro 87%+2.0ptLeader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$521
Liquidity
$117.7K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
1
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 17, 26, 9:58 AM UTCOct 4, 26, 6:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place?
- Polymarket prices Michelle Bolsonaro at 87% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place resolve?
- Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026.
- How is Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.